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Jul 18, 2021Liked by Kian Tajbakhsh

Super interesting Kian. Thank you for sharing that. When I talk to Americans who don’t vote, the most common response I have heard is that their one vote won’t make any difference with regard to the outcome. It just doesn’t matter. So if it is super easy one might still vote, but if that is the underpying beleif AND one does not have a car to get to the polls or the lines are long, or any other challenge presents itself, then people don’t vote.

In Argentina, where I lived for 15 years, every resident of voting age required by law to vote and people can face fines if they do not. Voting is held on a Sunday and almost all businesses are required to be closed that day. Of course Americans defense of individual rights prohibits us fro even thinking about mandatory voting, but it is amazing to see how engaged the entire public is in electing their leaders.

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Hi Corrine. The study I mentioned in another comment found that the single largest reason for not voting in the US (30%) = was apathy "I'm not interested /Don't care." Among 18-24 year olds - the future adult generation mind! - the second highest reason was "I don't know how / It's too complicated" (14%) and "I keep forgetting to register" (12%). My vote doesn't make a difference was almost last, 5%.

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Jul 18, 2021Liked by Kian Tajbakhsh

Kudos to Kian for his provocative argument: that the apparently similar phenomenon of low turnout in Tehran and NYC reflects quite different, even opposite, voters' motivations. I find his interpretation of the reason for low turnout in Tehran highly persuasive. However, I agree with Sibylle Johner that low turnout in NYC (and, more generally, U.S. elections) is not simply an indication of tacit consent/authorization of the incumbent government/political system, although I assume she'd agree that this is part of the explanation. Although I also agree with her claim the importance of anger and disillusionment, I'd add several other reasons for low turnout: ignorance, including (for some) ignorance that an election is even taking place, as well as ignorance about the need to register to be eligible to vote, the location of one's polling station, the hours when one can vote, etc. Another reason, linked to the preceding: multiple procedures that reduce the likelihood of voting, including the need to register to vote, the limited hours when one can vote, limited number of polling stations, the fact that elections in the U.S. are held on a working day (Tuesday) rather than on a holiday--Sunday--as is the case in most liberal democracies, the fact that in many (most?) states former felons are ineligible to vote, etc. A third reason, related to the second: incumbent legislators intentionally restricting voting to increase their chance of re-election, i.e., voter suppression: requiring a government-issued photo ID, reducing the number of polling stations, limiting early voting, etc. In brief, non-voters abstain because of (1) tacit consent/satisfaction with the status quo [Kian's explanation), (2) disillusionment/anger with the choices offered or the entire political system [Sibylle's explanation], and (3) voter suppression, broadly defined [MK's suggestion]. Although all three are doubtless influential, I suspect that nos. 2 and 3 outweigh no. 1.

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Mark, my objective in comparing Tehran and NYC (Iran and US more broadly) is to make the sharpest contrasts as a way to illuminate the realities in each case. (I may not succeed but that's the goal.) So in response to your #3 on voter suppression. In general I am highly skeptical of this claim as a general proposition about voting in the US where it is it easier to vote than probably any country in the world. (I'd like to know if there is any other country that does not require an ID to vote.) But specifically in relation to voting in NYC (which is the case at hand) I find no evidence or claim that there has been voter suppression in NYC elections. E.g. the NOW NYC chapter special page on it makes no mention of it in the city. https://nownyc.org/blog/voter-suppression-what-you-need-to-know/ . Re (2) anger/disillusionment. The contrast with Iran sets the bar very high: as long as people are not taking revolutionary action to overthrow the rules of the game, I assume exercising the legal right not to vote implies an endorsement of the basic rules of the game. (The huge proportion of Republicans who reportedly don't accept the results of the last election is astounding but I don't know how many of them are nonvoters.) I concur with all the other factors you mention (ignorance, laziness, apathy etc) but I do not see them as representing a rejection of the legitimacy of the political system as a whole - of which voting is only one part. Of course nonvoting does weaken the mandate to govern. But more importantly it weakens over time the foundations of how citizens authorize their representatives to make and enforce laws in their name.

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Jul 18, 2021Liked by Kian Tajbakhsh

Hi there! So far I only read the NYC portion of your essay. I clicked on the link for data about non-voters and was surprised to see that it was data from 2006. Surely a lot has changed in the last 15 years?! I do not have scientific polls at my disposal, but I've spent quite a bit of time talking to people in the streets lately. Most people who said they didn't vote made it clear that it was out of anger at the system and/or disillusionment with electoral politics. Tacit agreement is not the sense I got from the non-voters I encountered. Many of them commented that voting didn't make a difference for their lives. Others, like UWSers, who are more affluent and are much happier with the status quo DO vote.

Also, about 10 days ago, De Blasio released the numbers that show that crime is actually back down compared to last year. I assume it was on purpose that these numbers were only released after the budget which increased $$ going to the NYPD was passed. In any case, I'm surprised you went with the "dangerous crime is up" narrative. In my view this is entirely manufactured by the media and politicians (as well as parties) who are exploiting fears in order to win elections. The people who are propagating these fears don't really care about the crime because it affects mostly poorer neighborhoods. Furthermore, their "solutions" to prevent crime are not evidence-based (a good read about this could be Alex Vitale's "The End of Policing.")

I'll read your Iranian portion soon!

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Sibylle, I referenced two studies of nonvoters in the US, the latest one from 2019 is the largest study ever done in the US. You can find it here https://the100million.org/ . Its results support my contention that we should assume nonvoting implies tacit consent of the political system as a whole unless we can prove the opposite. I do not find evidence such evidence from this survey. For example "One of the clearest findings of the study is that non-voters feel (and are) under-informed on political issues" which is actually heartwarmingly honest of them, because even most voters are highly uninformed! The highest group of nonvoters, 30%, are apathetic. The next highest believe their vote won't "make a difference" which again is actually true given the minuscule probabilities that a single vote will swing the outcome of an election. But much depends on what is meant by "make a difference." Less than 10 percent of nonvoters cite a "corrupt system" as the reason but even here I don't think this necessarily means they would prefer to overthrow current system. (The huge proportion of Republicans who reportedly don't accept the results of the last election is astounding but I don't know how many of them are nonvoters.) In sum, I don't find evidence of nonvoting indicating a perceived lack of legitimacy of the political system, which was the point of the essay and highlighted in the contrast with Iran.

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Furthermore, white collar (Wall St type) crime is rampant and Farhadian Weinstein would not have pursued these crimes (she also frequents the Federalist Society, by the way).

White collar as well as corporate crimes have much more devastating and deadly effects on way more people than "regular crimes" because often they are so large-scale. Good examples are Wall Street's involvement in the 2008 crash or how WS firms buy up hospitals and squeeze them to gain profit to the detriment of the patients, etc. The opioid crisis is good example of how deadly the crimes by the pharmaceutical corporations are. https://www.hhs.gov/opioids/about-the-epidemic/opioid-crisis-statistics/index.html: "More than 760,000 people have died since 1999 from a drug overdose. Two out of three drug overdose deaths in 2018 involved an opioid."

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I find your characterization of the US electio s as somehow being non dictatorial. The imposition if Joey Bidet and Quemala Harristein as president and consort a form of dictatorship of the most hypocrite sort. This was evident in the manner that the DNC imposed these two clowns over a host of other candidates with genuine programs for democratic change. Bidet was elected not because of who he is but who he was not. And the hypocrite falsity of his campaign is evident in hiw all promises of any progressive governance go down the drain whenever the matter in question arises to be dealt with. But of course this is what is to be expected in this empire of lies and the hypocrite republic on which it stands. No the USA is merely a dictatorship as murderous if not more than your friends in Teheran. Washington is simply more adept in its lies.

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Viva la revolución!

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